Children of Men: What about the Youth Bulge?














I liked The Children of Men about a fascist world of
the future in which all women are infertile and and in which there is a lot of violence as groups fight against the government and against each other. The movie is based on a book by P.D. James which was published in the 1990's. For James who is politically conservative and is opposed to abortion that the human sperm count went to zero is a metaphor for the collapse of the family structure, loss of faith and the dying western civilization. But in the movie the end of the human race is leading to violence, terrorism and wars, with the world looking like a huge Baghdad/Gaza Strip. So... here is my problem: According to the popular Youth Bulge theory "one of the strongest indicators of whether a country will be prone to military conflict, general destabilization or revolt, is its demographics. More specifically, if it has a large proportion of generally poor and dissatisifed, young men, the likelihood increases by a landslide." Or to put it differently, more babies, more angry young men, more violence, more wars. That fits very much with what's going on in the Moslem world, and explains why childless Europe is more pacifist. I get that. But what's going on in the movie -- as opposed to the book -- runs contrary to the theory (I think):less babies which result in less angry young men, less violence, less wars. In fact, there seem to be quite a lot of young men among both the British security forces and the various terrorist groups in the movie. Well, since Steve Sailer is a movie critic and an expert in demography, perhaps he can help resolve for me this paradox.

Comments

Steve Sailer said…
You have a lefty Mexican director making a movie based on a novel by a righty English baroness. Incoherence is the result.
Leon Hadar said…
Steve, thanks! I suppose that you're right. And, dualarity, I didn't think that the book was so great (I do like P.D.James' crime novels). It was written in the 1990's in the Zeitgeist that many conservatives considered to be permissive, decadent, etc.
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In 2027, as humankind faces the likelihood of its own extinction, a disillusioned government agent agrees to help transport and protect a miraculously pregnant woman to a sanctuary at sea where her child's birth may help scientists to save the future of mankind. sportsbook Written by IMDb Editors
The world's youngest citizen has just died at 18, and humankind is facing the likelihood of its own extinction. Set in and around a dystopian London fractious with violence and warring nationalistic sects, bet nfl Children of Men follows the unexpected discovery of a lone pregnant woman and the desperate journey to deliver her to safety and restore faith for a future beyond those presently on Earth. Written by Production
Set in 2027, sportsbook when no child has been born for 18 years and science is at loss to explain the reason, African and East European societies collapse and their dwindling populations migrate to England and other wealthy nations. In a climate of nationalistic violence, a London peace activist turned bureaucrat Theo Faron, joins forces with his revolutionary ex-wife Julian in order to http://www.enterbet.com save mankind by protecting a woman who has mysteriously became pregnant. Written by Ryan Devlin

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